Silver (Commodity) (SILVER)

Published 2026-03-16 โ€ข by greyrabbitfinance

Original Post โ†—SEC:Market Intel:

Thesis Summary

Silver is in a higher-degree ABC corrective phase following a 2025 peak. The current decline is viewed as a potential 'Wyckoff spring' to accumulate liquidity before the next major bull leg, provided the 64.10 support level holds.

Quantitative Overlay

Detailed Deep Dive

Silver/USD (Daily Chart)

* Trend:Primary Uptrend Intact โ€ฆ Corrective Spring Structure Developing

* Major Resistance:121.64 (Wave 5 High)

* Key Structural Support:64.10

* Current Pivot Zone:87.19

* Timing Watch: Henka-Bi โ€“ March 17

Trend

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Wave (5) remains complete at 121.64, and silver continues to track a higher-degree ABC corrective structure following the powerful late-2025 impulse.

The rebound from the February lows has now completed Wave (B) beneath the retracement resistance zone.

Price is now transitioning into Wave (C).

However, the developing structure increasingly resembles a Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern rather than a simple bearish continuation.

In this interpretation:

Wave (A) created the automatic reaction after the blow-off top.

Wave (B) represents the range-building phase.

Wave (C) may act as a spring โ€” a final shakeout before the next major bull leg.

The macro uptrend remains intact as long as 64.10 holds structurally.

[...]

Interpretation

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The higher-degree corrective structure remains intact:

Wave (A): 121.64 โ†’ ~70

Wave (B): ~70 โ†’ ~92โ€“95

Wave (C): now developing

Your chart marks the key fib projections for the potential Wave (C) leg:

Wave (C) = 0.618 โ†’ 60.83

Wave (C) = 1.000 โ†’ 38.85

However, the 60โ€“65 zone aligns closely with another technical concept:

A Wyckoff Spring.

This is a temporary break beneath support designed to:

โ€ข Trigger panic selling

โ€ข Trap shorts

โ€ข Allow large players to accumulate liquidity

before launching the next major markup phase.

If silver briefly breaks the 64โ€“70 support zone before reversing sharply higher, the move would fit the classic spring and reaccumulation pattern seen frequently in commodity bull markets.

In that scenario, Wave (C) and the spring shakeout may effectively be the same event.